Assigned readings
One scholarly monograph on what doctrine is and where it came from, the three editions of the Navy's capstone doctrine publication that form this session's controlled comparison, a set of deep-memory naval artifacts (an ur-text on doctrine, an interwar decision manual, a wartime instruction that ordered its predecessor burned, and the Marine Corps's own revision pair), and the three theory anchors — organizational memory, knowledge creation, and knowledge-management strategy — through which we read them.
Jackson, A. P. (2013). The Roots of Military Doctrine: Change and Continuity in Understanding the Practice of Warfare. Combat Studies Institute Press.
Read in full; it is a short monograph. Chapters 1–2 build the session's historical spine (doctrine as institutional "belief system"; the four schools of doctrinal ontology from 1607 to the 1990s); Chapter 3 relates the schools to education, science, and bureaucracy; Chapter 4 is the epistemology argument (military positivism and the 21st-century anti-positivist challenge). Written by a serving doctrine desk officer — a memory-keeper theorizing his own archive.
../sources/doctrine_theory/roots_of_military_doctrine/roots_of_military_doctrine.mdNaval Doctrine Publication 1, Naval Warfare (28 March 1994)
Read cover to cover — about seventy-five pages, signed by the Chief of Naval Operations and the Commandant of the Marine Corps. Note the structure (Who We Are / What We Do / How We Fight / Where We Are Headed), the four qualities (readiness, flexibility, self-sustainability, mobility), the attrition-versus-maneuver dichotomy, and the boxed historical cases. This is the Navy's first — and per Jackson, reluctant — entry into capstone doctrine.
../sources/navy/ndp1_naval_warfare_1994/ndp1_naval_warfare_1994.mdNaval Doctrine Publication 1, Naval Warfare (March 2010)
The recovered middle edition, and the point of this revision. Read what we have of it: the foreword, introduction, and Chapters Two and Three. Note that this is an ~80% excerpt — the body of Chapter One ("Who We Are") is missing from the recovered file, so we can read its section titles from the table of contents but not its argument. Track the transitional state: the tri-service "Naval Service" identity and the six core capabilities are already here, sea control is already restored as "the essence of seapower," and the maneuver-warfare commitment is already gone — while the strategic frame still reads "moving away from … all-or-nothing global war." Several 1994→2020 changes were underway by 2010; several were not.
../sources/navy/ndp1_naval_warfare_march_2010_excerpt/ndp1_naval_warfare_march_2010_excerpt.mdNaval Doctrine Publication 1, Naval Warfare (April 2020)
Read cover to cover against your 1994 log. Same title, same publication number, tri-signed (Navy, Marine Corps, Coast Guard). Track what survived (the Who/What/How triptych, the nine principles, commander's intent, the sealift statistic), what vanished (maneuver warfare as "preferred style," the center-of-gravity apparatus, operations other than war), and what is new (sea control as the master function, mission command theorized, the competition continuum, great power competition).
../sources/navy/ndp1_naval_warfare_2020/ndp1_naval_warfare_2020.mdKnox, D. W. (1915). The Rôle of Doctrine in Naval Warfare. U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings, 41(2), 325–354.
The ur-text this session quotes as the 1994 edition's epigraph — now read at the source. Knox's 1915 prize essay states the functional theory of doctrine ("due preparation of the minds"; the object of doctrine as "to furnish a basis for prompt and harmonious conduct by the subordinate commanders of a large military force") three-quarters of a century before the Navy issued a capstone publication. Read the opening, the section on command and doctrine, and the statement of doctrine's object.
../sources/navy/knox_role_of_doctrine_naval_warfare_1915_usni_proceedings_v41n2/knox_role_of_doctrine_naval_warfare_1915_usni_proceedings_v41n2.mdCorbett, J. S. (1911). Some Principles of Maritime Strategy. Longmans, Green.
Context for the sea-control thread. Corbett's theory of command of the sea — control as a means to an end, contested and local rather than absolute — is the older memory the 2020 edition restores when it makes sea control "the essence of seapower." Skim Part I on the theory of war and the theory of command of the sea; you are reading it to recognize a source the doctrine keeps returning to, not for full coverage.
../sources/navy/corbett_some_principles_maritime_strategy_1911/corbett_some_principles_maritime_strategy_1911.txtNaval War College (1942). Sound Military Decision. U.S. Naval War College Press.
Interwar procedural memory. Before capstone doctrine, the Navy codified how to decide rather than what to conclude — an "estimate of the situation" method taught at Newport and carried into the fleet that fought World War II. Skim the front matter and the estimate-of-the-situation apparatus; it is an early instance of doctrine-as-codified-method, the mode Session 04 will call "moderately positivist."
../sources/navy/sound_military_decision_nwc_1942/sound_military_decision_nwc_1942.mdWar Instructions, United States Navy, 1944 (F.T.P. 143(A)). Headquarters of the Commander in Chief, United States Fleet.
Read only the letter of promulgation, signed by Fleet Admiral E. J. King. It supersedes the 1934 edition and orders the prior copies "destroyed by burning" — doctrine revision as the physical destruction of superseded memory. Its preface states the same functional theory Knox gave in 1915: doctrine "reduces the necessity for detailed instructions in orders."
../sources/navy/war_instructions_usn_1944_ftp143a/war_instructions_usn_1944_ftp143a.txtFleet Marine Force Manual 1, Warfighting (6 March 1989) and Marine Corps Doctrinal Publication 1, Warfighting (20 June 1997).
A second same-document revision pair, to read alongside NDP 1. FMFM 1 (1989) is the maneuver-warfare manifesto the 1994 NDP 1 borrowed its "preferred style" from; MCDP 1 (1997) revised it eight years later. Read the 1997 foreword, which frames the revision explicitly ("Military doctrine cannot be allowed to stagnate"), and compare the two openings — a Marine Corps mirror of the Navy's editing behavior.
../sources/navy/fmfm_1_warfighting_1989/fmfm_1_warfighting_1989.md ../sources/c2_mission_command/mcdp_1_warfighting_1997/mcdp_1_warfighting_1997.mdWesterfield, A. L. (1996). Naval Doctrine: An Analysis of the Effectiveness of NDP 1 and NDP 6. Master's thesis, Naval Postgraduate School.
An empirical check on memory uptake, written two years after the 1994 NDP 1 by a student of Wayne P. Hughes. It judges the fleet's first capstone doctrine against its stated purpose and finds it wanting — its "beliefs and core values … are difficult to discern," submerged rather than highlighted. Read the abstract and the NDP 1 assessment; hold its verdict against what the 2010 edition later changed.
../sources/navy/nps_thesis_westerfield_1996_ndp1_effectiveness/nps_thesis_westerfield_1996_ndp1_effectiveness.mdWalsh, J. P., & Ungson, G. R. (1991). Organizational memory. Academy of Management Review, 16(1), 57–91.
The session's structural lens: organizational memory is stored information from an organization's history that bears on present decisions, retained in five "bins" — individuals, culture, transformations (procedures), structures (roles), and ecology — plus external archives. Ask, for each bin, where the Navy keeps that kind of memory, and what doctrine adds that the bins alone lack: deliberate design, versioning, and auditability.
doi.org/10.5465/amr.1991.4278992Nonaka, I., & Takeuchi, H. (1995). The Knowledge-Creating Company. Oxford University Press. Chapters 2–3.
The tacit–explicit distinction (from Polanyi: "we can know more than we can tell") and the SECI spiral — socialization, externalization, combination, internalization. Doctrine writing is externalization and combination at institutional scale; the "requires judgment" clause is the institution admitting that internalization cannot be skipped. Watch also how the 2020 NDP 1 smuggles socialization into a codified document through battle narrative.
global.oup.com — The Knowledge-Creating CompanyHansen, M. T., Nohria, N., & Tierney, T. (1999). What's your strategy for managing knowledge? Harvard Business Review, 77(2), 106–116.
The strategic either/or: codification (people-to-documents, reuse economics) versus personalization (person-to-person, tacit transfer), with the warning that firms which straddle both tend to fail. The military is history's largest straddler. This session asks why the straddle holds here — and whether the answer generalizes or depends on conditions no firm faces.
hbr.org — What's Your Strategy for Managing Knowledge?What doctrine is: memory made explicit, with an escape clause
Jackson defines doctrine as the most visible expression of a military's institutional belief system. The official definition adds a paradox — "authoritative but requires judgment in application" — that turns out to be the institution's considered answer to the tacit–explicit boundary.
Start with the definitional mess, because it is instructive. Jackson opens by noting that "doctrine" has been defined so many ways it has become "thoroughly ill-defined": it is "what is written down, usually at the highest levels, for dissemination throughout an army … to instruct and standardize" (Johnston); it "stands for an institutional culture of conceptual thinking on the nature of conflict and the best conduct of warfare" (Mäder); it "is regarded as the foundation of military professional knowledge. Doctrine is to soldiers what blueprints are to architects or briefs to lawyers" (Evans). The definition Jackson builds on — Drew and Snow's "what we believe about the best way to conduct military affairs" — points at the definition he adopts: doctrine is the most visible expression of a military's institutional belief system, the accepted paradigms by which the institution understands, prepares for, and (at least in theory) conducts warfare, and, at one remove, its perception of its own role and legitimacy within society.
Three caveats discipline that definition, and each matters for us. First, doctrine is institutional: the writings of individual thinkers, from Sun Tzu forward, are not doctrine until a military formally adopts them — memory here is organizational, not personal. Second, doctrine as conceived today takes written form, though for most of Western military history doctrine was oral, informal, and personalized. Third, doctrine is cognitive — the product of "examination and interpretation of the available evidence," a process of knowledge acquisition. Put those together and Jackson has described, in his own vocabulary, exactly what Walsh & Ungson (1991) call organizational memory: stored information from an organization's history, bearing on present decisions. The distinctive move is that this institution's memory is engineered — deliberately written, hierarchically approved, formally promulgated, and periodically revised. Culture drifts; individuals retire; procedures ossify silently. Doctrine is the one retention bin you can diff.
But you can only diff editions that survive to be compared, and for most of this institution's history the norm was the opposite — the superseded edition was to be destroyed. The clearest surviving statement of that norm sits in the letter of promulgation of the Navy's wartime War Instructions, 1944, signed by Fleet Admiral E. J. King:
This publication supersedes War Instructions, 1934 (F.T.P. 143), copies of which shall be destroyed by burning. No report of destruction is required.
Read as a memory operation, that sentence is stark: doctrine revision is not only the writing of a new memory but the physical annihilation of the old one. The superseded edition is not archived, footnoted, or marked "deprecated"; it is burned, and no receipt is kept. Organizational memory as engineered here is a current memory by design — the institution holds one authoritative version and destroys its predecessors, precisely to prevent the confusion of two coexisting "truths" in the fleet. This makes our controlled comparison a lucky accident of a later, more archival era: the reason we can lay 1994, 2010, and 2020 side by side is that the modern promulgation norm changed from burning to bloodless supersession. The 2010 edition retires its predecessor in a single unceremonious line — "The previous edition of NDP 1 is superseded" — with no fire and no order to destroy. The seminar should notice that the shift from destroying prior memory to merely superseding it is itself a change in how the institution relates to its own past, and one worth holding against Session 03's account of the doctrine-production system.
The only satisfactory method of ensuring unity of effort lies in due preparation of the minds of the various commanders, both chief and subordinate, before the outbreak of hostilities. Such preparation comprehends not only adequate tactical and strategic study and training, but also a common meeting ground of beliefs as to the manner of applying principles to modern war.
Knox, writing in 1915, states the functional theory of doctrine this seminar will keep testing: doctrine is pre-positioned shared understanding — "due preparation of the minds" — that substitutes for communication when communication fails. Session 01 derived the same requirement from Galbraith: when the environment attacks your information channels, you reduce the need for information processing by loading common premises in advance. Doctrine is the load mechanism, and "a common meeting ground of beliefs" is as clean a definition of organizational memory's coordination function as anything in the 1991 literature.
Now the official definition, which all three editions of NDP 1 carry unchanged — the 2010 glossary reproduces it verbatim — and which Jackson subjects to sustained analysis:
Fundamental principles by which the military forces or elements thereof guide their actions in support of national objectives. It is authoritative but requires judgment in application.
Read as knowledge management, the two sentences are doing opposed work on purpose. "Fundamental principles … guide their actions" is a codification claim: knowledge about warfighting can be extracted from experience, generalized, written down, and reused — Hansen, Nohria & Tierney's (1999) people-to-documents strategy, whose economics depend on the same problem recurring. "Requires judgment in application" is a personalization claim: the written principle is incomplete without a competent human who carries what the document cannot — Polanyi's tacit dimension, the knowing that exceeds the telling. The clause is seemingly paradoxical (Jackson calls it exactly that), but it is better read as a boundary marker: the institution codifies up to the tacit–explicit boundary and then explicitly labels the remainder, instead of pretending the remainder does not exist (pure codification) or refusing to write anything down (pure personalization). The escape clause itself has a small three-point history worth tracking, since it is this session's central object. The 1994 and 2010 editions both carry the bare Joint Pub definition — "authoritative but requires judgment in application" — but the 2010 introduction already glosses it toward a stronger claim: "doctrine is a shared way of thinking that is authoritative, but not directive in nature." The 2020 edition then folds that gloss into the marker itself: "Like all doctrine publications, NDP 1 is authoritative but not prescriptive, and requires judgment in application." Across the sequence the institution moved from stating the tacit-boundary caveat, to explaining it, to building the explanation into the caveat — externalization tightening on its own escape clause.
The session's analytic frame
Doctrine is the designed retention bin — and the judgment clause is its interface contract.
Walsh & Ungson's bins store memory as a side effect of organizational life. Doctrine stores it on purpose: authored, approved, numbered, versioned, taught. That design property is what makes doctrine unusually good data (you can trace what the institution decided to remember), and the judgment clause is what makes it honest data (the institution states, in the document itself, where the document stops working). Everything else in this session — the four schools, the epistemology fight, the NDP 1 diff — is this frame applied historically.
One more definitional pair, because sections 03–04 depend on it. Jackson analyzes doctrine with two tools uncommon in military writing: ontology, the construction of taxonomies — the categories through which the institution carves up reality (delineating "irregular" from "conventional" warfare is ontology); and epistemology, the theory of how knowledge is acquired and warranted — the cognitive process by which the institution decides a concept deserves inclusion (evaluating a war and assigning it to a category is epistemology). Inclusion in doctrine is an epistemological act with ontological consequences: a concept printed in a manual has been institutionally accepted as valid knowledge, and the taxonomy it carries becomes the lens through which the institution perceives. In memory terms: ontology is the schema of the archive; epistemology is its admissions policy.
Four schools: four centuries of expanding memory
Jackson periodizes written doctrine into four "schools of doctrinal ontology," each broader in scope and audience than the last, each applied differently — instruction manual, training aid, guidance, instrument for analysis — and each with a different relationship to the institution's self-understanding.
The archive did not appear whole. It accreted, and the accretion pattern is theoretically legible: each school emerges when the institution's environment demands that a new layer of previously tacit or personal knowledge be externalized. Three factors delineate the schools: the scope and audience broadens from system operators to legislatures and the public; the mode of application shifts from instruction manual to training aid to guidance to instrument for analysis; and the relationship to institutional ontology moves from absent, to implicit, to explicit, to inquisitive — by the fourth school, manuals are the medium in which the institution asks itself what it is for.
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Technical manual school · from 1607
Procedures, externalized. The lineage begins with the "first modern drill book," Wapenhandlingen van Roers, Musqetten, Ende Spiessen (Amsterdam, 1607) — weapon employment broken into numbered component steps, each tied to a verbal command, published one year after Europe's first modern military academy opened at Sedan. Manuals in this school are instruction manuals: narrow, absolute, delineating correct from incorrect "in absolute and inflexible terms." Ontology is absent — a technical manual tells a soldier how to use his weapon, never when. It has never existed alone: what surrounded it for centuries was unwritten, personalized doctrine. Occasionally the micro goes macro: the US Army's 1970s "training revolution" under Gorman decomposed whole missions into task lists with mandated performance steps and annual evaluation — first-school method at institutional scale.
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Tactical manual school · late 18th–19th century
Battle, standardized. The 1779 Regulations for the Order and Discipline of the Troops of the United States — approved by Washington and by Congress — is among the first official doctrine manuals; the school proliferates through the 19th century as post-Napoleonic professionalization replaces aristocratic birthright with merit and study (Jomini explaining Napoleon's method to everyone else). Applied as training aids, these manuals carry an implicit ontology: they assume a battlefield, assume state adversaries, assume battle outcomes decide wars — and concentrate on winning within those assumptions. The risk Jackson flags is dissonance between tactical means and strategic ends: doctrine that answers the wrong question confidently. The US war in Vietnam, on Krepinevich's account, is the canonical case.
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Operational manual school · 1982
The institution's ontology, made explicit. Catalyzed by defeat: after Vietnam, the Army rebuilt itself around doctrine — TRADOC founded 1973; DePuy's controversial 1976 FM 100-5 ("win the first battle of the next war"); then the 1982 edition, which did two unprecedented things. It asserted an operational level of war between tactics and strategy (present in Prussian/German and Soviet doctrine for a century, new to English-speaking militaries), and it made the Army's ontology explicit: subordinate to policy in Clausewitz's sense, built to defeat the conventional forces of other states, entrusted with operations once policymakers set objectives — Huntington's "normal" theory of civil–military relations, written into the manual. The other services followed: FMFM 1 Warfighting (1989, maneuver warfare), AFM 1-1 (1992, two volumes, the second all essays), and NDP 1 (1994) — the Navy's brief flirtation, of which more below (NDP 1, 1994). Applied as guidance, taught in newly founded schools (SAMS, 1983).
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Military strategic school · 1990s
The archive turns inquisitive. The Cold War's end dissolved the third school's ontological clarity: what were Western militaries for, in a world of peace enforcement, budget cuts, and no Soviet threat? Capstone manuals emerged as the medium of the institution's self-examination — philosophical documents establishing "fundamental principles or a core conceptual framework that is intended to describe, categorize, and justify military activities as much as guide" them. Applied as instruments for analysis; addressed, uniquely, to outsiders as much as insiders (the 2005 FM 1 names the Executive Branch, Congress, other Services, and Army civilians as its audience) — doctrine as declaration of institutional strategy, lobbying platform, and public-relations instrument. Joint doctrine arrives in the same wave, but by legislative force: Goldwater-Nichols (1986) → JP 1 (1991). And the era's ontological uncertainty is legible in its concept churn: RMA, EBO, NCW, MOOTW, SASO, RDO.
| School · exemplar | Applied as · audience | Relation to institutional ontology · memory function |
|---|---|---|
| Technical (1607 · Wapenhandlingen; modern weapon-system manuals) | Instruction manual · users of specific systems Absolute, inflexible |
Ontology absent. Pure combination of externalized procedure — Hansen's codification at its most economical, because the same task recurs identically. No judgment clause needed |
| Tactical (1779 Regulations; 1905 Field Service Regulations; 1941 FM 100-5) | Training aid · the officer corps at schools and exercises Flexible within assumptions |
Ontology implicit — battlefield, state enemy, battle-decides-war assumed away. Memory of best practice with an unexamined schema; fails when the environment leaves the schema. Vietnam as retrieval failure |
| Operational (1982 FM 100-5; FMFM 1 1989; AFM 1-1 1992; NDP 1 1994) | Guidance · operational commanders and planning staffs Framework, not recipe |
Ontology explicit — role, subordination to policy, and preferred operational method stated with rationale. First appearance of the archive explaining itself. Belief system in writing |
| Military strategic (JP 1 1991; MCDP 1 1997; AFDD 1 1997; capstone manuals generally) | Instrument for analysis · internal and external: services, government, allies, public Philosophical |
Ontology inquisitive — the manual is where the institution poses and answers questions about what it is. Memory doubling as identity work and external legitimation. Mäder: "instrument for analyzing past experience, guiding current operations, and exploring future challenges" |
Two features of this history do theoretical work. First, the schools accumulate rather than replace. Kuhn predicts old paradigms die; Jackson finds instead that each school persists alongside its successors, in the manner of Bousquet's scientific "regimes" (mechanistic, thermodynamic, cybernetic, chaoplexic — the clock, the engine, the computer, the network), each leaving a permanent conceptual sediment. The archive is stratified, not overwritten — which is exactly how Walsh & Ungson describe organizational memory, and exactly unlike a rationalized knowledge base. Today's doctrine hierarchy contains all four schools simultaneously, from torpedo maintenance procedures to capstone philosophy, with a single fourth-school manual normally sitting atop a pyramid of operational, tactical, and technical ones.
Second, what stayed unwritten is as instructive as what got written. For most of its history the British Army kept its doctrine in the personalization bin on principle:
Largely eschewing formal written doctrine, the Army made a cult of pragmatism, flexibility, and an empirical approach … doctrine tended to be semi-formal at best[,] was centered around one individual commander or existed in a specific set of circumstances (usually high-intensity war) and was not necessarily easily transferrable elsewhere; and in some cases it was more honored in the breach than the observance.
Jackson reports the same pattern in the US and Commonwealth navies and the US and Canadian air forces "right up until the latter part of the 20th century" — and the argument around it is Hansen's trade-off stated eighty years early: champions of unwritten doctrine "cited its flexibility as its key strength," while opponents "attacked the erratic success rate that has resulted from its reliance on the abilities of individual commanders." Flexibility versus scale; tacit richness versus turnover-vulnerability. Commonwealth navies would not even call their written manuals "doctrine" until the 1990s — they were "procedural manuals" or "fleet instructions," a naming choice that kept real doctrine, by definition, in people.
One more mechanism deserves note before we leave the history: memory here is not bounded by the single organization. Applying Fleck's "thought collectives" to Canada's adoption of the operational level of war, Coombs found that Canadian doctrine writers underwent no domestic debate at all — "it had already occurred in the United States," and the Canadians "implicitly viewed [themselves] as part of a single community of practice that extended across the continent." Jackson generalizes: an international thought collective with US doctrine writers at the inner circle and allied militaries in outer rings, flowing ideas outward far more strongly than back (he finds only a handful of reverse cases, such as US borrowing from Australia's Complex Warfighting in 2005), which makes it also an epistemic community in Haas's sense. Smaller allies effectively outsource part of their organizational memory to the hegemon's doctrine shop — with interoperability, not independent validation, as the binding constraint.
The epistemology of the archive: positivism and its challenger
For four hundred years doctrine's admissions policy was positivist: warranted knowledge is what can be measured from a neutral viewpoint. Since the early 2000s an anti-positivist current — chaos, complexity, and "design" — has contested that policy, in what Jackson calls the most pervasive paradigm shift in doctrinal history.
If ontology is the archive's schema, epistemology is its admissions policy — and Jackson's central historical finding is that the policy barely changed from the 17th century to the 20th. Doctrine's traditional epistemology is positivism: Enlightenment-rooted, Comtean in method — observe the subject from a neutral viewpoint, assess rationally, extract the universal laws governing the relationships, then apply the laws to manipulate reality toward a desired end (victory). Underneath sits an equally constant ontological realism: reality is structured and tangible whether or not anyone labels it — an understandable commitment, Jackson notes dryly, for practitioners who can be killed by relationships they have not yet conceptualized. The resulting belief system, in his formulation: "warranted knowledge is that which can be mathematically measured when a subject is assessed from a neutral viewpoint."
Paparone's typology (which Jackson adopts as nearly the only extant analysis of doctrinal epistemology) splits the positivist archive in two. Highly positivist doctrine expresses remedies as predetermined tasks and standards — weapon qualification, where effectiveness is assessed "using mathematical probabilities and measures of effectiveness" and a "trade school" suffices to transmit it. Moderately positivist doctrine "prescribes processes rather than preset solutions" — planning methods, mission analysis, templated campaign design — requiring practitioners with "specialized and practiced analytical skills" formed in professional schools. The Navy's clearest early exemplar of this mode long predates its capstone doctrine: the Naval War College's Sound Military Decision (1942) codified an "estimate of the situation" — a repeatable procedure for reaching a decision under uncertainty — rather than any catalog of correct decisions, and taught it at Newport to the officers who would carry it into the fleets of World War II. Procedural memory of exactly this kind is what the 2010 NDP 1 still teaches under "the planning process." The first maps to Jackson's technical school; the second describes "the vast majority of manuals" in the tactical, operational, and strategic schools. Note what both share: the codification premise. Knowledge is context-free enough to write down; the document plus a trained user equals capability. Even the judgment clause does not break the frame — Jackson reads it as "a nod to post-Enlightenment intellectual trends" that "does not alter the definition's underlying positivism, as the sound application of judgment presumes the conduct of rational thinking as a prerequisite." (His footnote is worth the price of the monograph: "A more cynical observer might be forgiven for thinking that the caveat has been included as a disclaimer, in case the application of doctrine goes awry.")
The challenge arrived on two vectors. The first was intellectual: chaos theory and complexity science, seeping into military thought from the late 1980s (Boyd's decision cycle; Mann's 1992 warning that "the provocative doctrines of the last century have become the confining dogmas of this one," and that classical strategy "compels us to reduce highly complex situations down to a few major variables"). The Marine Corps moved first and deliberately: announcing the MCDP series in 1996, Lieutenant General Van Riper promised manuals that "will not simply codify conventional military wisdom but will expand the boundaries of doctrine by incorporating lessons from other disciplines including the new sciences … the implications of chaos and complexity theory" — incorporated subtly, Bassford records, to avoid "sales resistance." The second vector was failure: the initial inadequacy of positivist doctrine for the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, which converted an academic current into an institutional crisis — junior-officer dissent (Yingling: "a private who loses a rifle suffers far greater consequences than a general who loses a war"), the "revolt of the generals," and then the Petraeus–Mattis response, run through the doctrine system itself: the 2006 FM 3-24 / MCWP 3-33.5 Counterinsurgency, drafted by a team under the retired officer-academic Conrad Crane with unprecedented civilian participation, dual-badged into two services' hierarchies, and downloaded 1.5 million times in the month after posting — reviewed everywhere from the New York Times to jihadist websites. It is possibly the widest-circulated doctrine manual ever published: an organizational memory artifact that briefly became a public document of record.
Epistemologically, the manual's deepest novelty was the concept of design, which contrasts itself against planning in terms any knowledge theorist will recognize:
Planning applies established procedures to solve a largely understood problem within an accepted framework. Design inquires into the nature of a problem to conceive a framework for solving that problem. In general, planning is problem solving, while design is problem setting. Where planning focuses on generating a plan, a series of executable actions, design focuses on learning about the nature of an unfamiliar problem.
Anti-positivism denies the neutral observer: social phenomena — and warfare is one — "can only be understood from the point of view of the individuals who are directly involved," so understanding is inherently subjective, perspectival, and unstable. A doctrine written on that premise cannot store solutions; it can only store methods of inquiry. In Hansen's terms, this is a different codification product altogether: the positivist archive codifies answers for reuse; design doctrine codifies a procedure for generating situated understanding — codified inquiry rather than codified answers. In Nonaka & Takeuchi's terms, it relocates the archive's center of gravity from combination (recombining explicit knowledge) toward supported externalization (helping practitioners articulate the problem they are actually inside of). Design spread quickly — FM 3-0 (2008), FM 5-0 (2010), MCWP 5-1 (2010), and, decisively for institutional acceptance, the joint JP 5-0 (2011).
Positivist archive
Codified answers
Neutral observation yields universal principles; the manual stores solutions and processes; the user applies them, with judgment as residual lubricant. Measurable, teachable at scale, auditable — and exploitable when the enemy reads the same manual, brittle when the situation leaves the schema.
Anti-positivist current
Codified inquiry
No neutral observer; understanding is participatory and perishable. The manual stores a discipline of problem-setting — framing, reframing, learning while acting. Honest about complexity, but hard to teach, hard to evaluate, vulnerable to being "boiled down to just another checklist" (Greenwood & Hammes's fear) — recaptured by the positivist machine it meant to escape.
Jackson's judgment on all this is carefully hedged, and the hedges are data. He calls the shift "arguably the most pervasive paradigm shift to have occurred in 400 years of doctrinal history" — pervasive precisely because it is epistemological rather than ontological, questioning the admissions policy of all four schools at once. But he catalogs the ways it may fail: the detractors who find it vacuous (Owen: "good old wine in shabby new bottles") or unworkable (Vego, prosecuting the IDF's Systemic Operational Design after Lebanon 2006); the sympathizers who fear tactical misapplication (Elkus & Burke) or paralysis-through-analysis in conventional war (Vohr); the "comprehension gap" (users unaware of the concepts' epistemological roots) and "application gap" (anti-positivist ideas bolted onto the front of positivist planning processes); and the possibility that the whole episode is a wartime flirtation — he notes that as US attention turned to the Pacific, the Navy–Air Force "AirSea Battle" concept sat "very comfortably within the third school" with an epistemology "unquestionably positivist." Keep that hedge in hand: the 2020 NDP 1 we are about to read contains Boyd, complexity-adjacent language about chaos and uncertainty — and no design chapter at all.
Theory checkpoint
March's dial, applied to an archive.
Exploitation refines what the organization already knows; exploration searches for what it does not. A positivist doctrine system is an exploitation engine — it compounds returns on validated knowledge, and its Vietnam-and-Iraq failure mode is confident retrieval of the wrong memory. The design episode is best read as the institution attempting to install an exploration mode inside its exploitation machinery — and the recurring worry (design becomes a checklist; anti-positivist language, positivist substance) is March's warning that exploitation systematically crowds out exploration, here operating at the level of epistemology itself.
NDP 1, 1994 → 2010 → 2020: a controlled comparison
Same institution, same publication number, same genre and purpose, across a quarter century in three samples. The diff shows which layers of organizational memory are sticky (format, principles, exemplars), which churn (operational concepts, environment models), and how a statistic can outlive its own referent — and the recovered 2010 edition lets us see which edits were already underway at the midpoint and which came only later.
Why call this a controlled comparison? Because nearly everything except time is held fixed: the same institution, writing the same capstone document (NDP 1, Naval Warfare), in the same genre (fourth-school self-description: who we are, what we do, how we fight), for the same declared purpose (a foundation "every naval professional" / "every member of the Naval Service" must understand). What varies is the strategic environment — 1994's unipolar moment, through 2010's hedge ("war with another great power strikes many as improbable," yet "demands that it be actively deterred"), to 2020's "re-emergence of long-term strategic competition" — and a quarter century of institutional life. Whatever differs between the editions is therefore evidence about how this institution edits its memory when the world moves; whatever survives is evidence about what it considers load-bearing. The March 2010 edition is the crucial addition: it converts a two-point bracket into a three-point trajectory, so that for each change we can now ask not just whether the institution edited the memory but when. One caveat governs its use throughout: the recovered file is an ~80% excerpt — foreword, introduction, Chapters Two and Three, and glossary — and the body of Chapter One is missing, so wherever a comparison dimension lives in "Who We Are," the 2010 value cannot be read and is marked as such.
First, the 1994 edition on its own terms, because its context is unusual. It was produced fast, by a new organization — the Naval Doctrine Command, established 1993, disestablished 1998, its functions dispersed — to translate the 1992 White Paper … From the Sea "into doctrinal reality," announcing a six-publication capstone series (NDP 1 through 6: warfare, intelligence, operations, logistics, planning, command and control). Its strategic frame is explicit: force redirected "toward regional contingencies and political persuasion, moving away from the prospect of all-or-nothing global war with another superpower," with a new emphasis on littoral operations. Its identity chapter names four qualities — readiness, flexibility, self-sustainability, mobility — that make naval forces "expeditionary." Its warfighting chapter teaches the attrition-versus-maneuver dichotomy and takes a side: "Maneuver warfare, based on the twin pillars of decisiveness and rapidity, is our preferred style of warfighting" — a commitment Jackson notes was "quite deliberately" borrowed to align the Navy with the Marine Corps's FMFM 1, Warfighting (1989) — the maneuver-warfare manifesto that itself became a same-document revision pair when the Marines reissued it as MCDP 1, Warfighting (1997), whose foreword states the general editing principle this whole section illustrates ("Military doctrine cannot be allowed to stagnate"). That the concept the Navy borrowed in 1994 was, by 2010, gone from NDP 1 while the Marines kept refining it in their own line is a small controlled experiment in how borrowed memory decays faster than native memory. And NDP 1's theory of doctrine itself is stated with a clarity worth quoting whole:
Doctrine is conceptual — a shared way of thinking that is not directive. To be useful, doctrine must be uniformly known and understood. With doctrine we gain standardization, without relinquishing freedom of judgment and the commander's need to exercise initiative in battle.
Jackson's verdict on the 1994 edition is part of the data: it was "notably shorter and far less detailed" than its Army, Marine Corps, or Air Force equivalents, the product of a service that "has generally been dismissive of doctrine development" — and the fourth school "has not emerged at all within the USN," which achieved capstone-like functions instead through non-doctrinal strategy papers (… From the Sea; Forward … From the Sea; Anytime, Anywhere) that Hattendorf judged to "lie between doctrine and strategy as strictly defined." Add Jackson's cross-national finding about service cultures — army doctrine faces downwards (guiding operations), navy doctrine faces upwards (justifying force structure to government), air force doctrine faces inwards (educating airmen about air power) — and a hypothesis forms that the seminar should hold onto: the Navy is the personalization-leaning service, whose deepest memory lives in ships, wardrooms, and commanders rather than manuals, and whose capstone documents are partly external-legitimation artifacts in Meyer & Rowan's sense. The 2020 edition, notably, begins by re-arguing from first principles why the nation needs a navy at all — an odd thing to have to tell one's own sailors, and exactly the thing one tells Congress.
Was that first edition actually absorbed? We have a measurement. In 1996, two years after promulgation, Anne Westerfield's Naval Postgraduate School thesis — advised by Wayne P. Hughes, whose "attack effectively first" the 2020 edition would later cite — evaluated NDP 1 against its own stated purpose of "provid[ing] a framework for detailed Navy and Marine Corps doctrine" and found it wanting: NDP 1 "contains several weaknesses that detract from its stated purpose," its ties to the subordinate publications "are weaker" than the joint publications' internal ties, and, tellingly for a memory artifact, its "beliefs and core values … are difficult to discern," submerged in the text rather than highlighted — Westerfield's specific recommendation was that Chapter One should "discourse on shared core values." This is memory uptake measured, not assumed, and it sets up a striking observation about the middle edition: the 2010 NDP 1 opens Chapter One with an explicit section on naval and guardian core values and ethos — honor, courage, commitment, and the naval ethos named outright — exactly the surfacing of core values the 1994 edition lacked and Westerfield had flagged. We should not read this as cause and effect (there is no evidence the drafters read an NPS thesis), but as parallel evidence: an independent 1996 critique and the institution's own 2010 revision converged on the same defect. Note the honesty limit — the 2010 core-values section is visible only through the recovered table of contents and its first paragraphs; the body of that chapter is part of the missing 20%.
The 2010 edition is best read as the hinge. Its strategic frame still carries the 1994 posture almost verbatim — forces directed "toward securing the United States and its allies," "moving away from the prospect of an all-or-nothing global war with another adversary" — yet it has already installed the machinery the 2020 edition would run on: the tri-service "Naval Service" identity (tri-signed by the CNO, the Commandant of the Marine Corps, and the Commandant of the Coast Guard), A Cooperative Strategy for 21st Century Seapower as the governing maritime strategy, a six-phase campaign model (Shape, Deter, Seize the Initiative, Dominate, Stabilize, Enable Civil Authority), and — decisively for the memory story — sea control restored to the center of the archive, six years before the 2020 refrain "Sea control enables all other naval functions":
Throughout history, control of the sea has been a precursor to victory in war. Sea control is the essence of seapower and is a necessary ingredient in the successful accomplishment of all naval missions.
What 2010 had not yet done is equally instructive. It never uses the phrase "mission command" — the command philosophy is present as commander's intent and decentralized execution, but unnamed and untheorized, the labeling still a decade away. And its account of the principles moves the other direction from 2020: where 1994 taught the nine principles of war and 2020 returns to "the nine principles of war," the 2010 edition frames them as twelve — the "principles of joint operations," the historic nine plus restraint, perseverance, and legitimacy, three additions "born out of recent experience across the range of military operations." The joint-twelve framing was a mid-period import that the 2020 edition quietly dropped, reverting to the classic nine. That non-monotonic wobble is a reminder that memory does not only accrete and prune in one direction; the institution can adopt a framing and then un-adopt it.
Now the diff. Read the table as three memory strata with different half-lives, and read left-to-right as a trajectory — the 2010 column tells you where each change had reached by the midpoint:
| Dimension | NDP 1 (1994) | NDP 1 (2010) · the midpoint | NDP 1 (2020) · interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Self-narration format | Four chapters: Who We Are / What We Do / How We Fight / Where We Are Headed. Kept |
Three chapters: Who We Are / What We Do / How We Fight. The "Where We Are Headed" futures chapter is already gone. Futures chapter dropped by 2010 |
Identical triptych — Who We Are / What We Do / How We Fight. The institution kept its own narrative schema for a quarter century; the futures chapter, we now see, was cut by the 2010 midpoint, not in 2020. Format is the stickiest memory layer: the container outlives most of its contents. Structure as memory |
| Who "we" are | Navy + Marine Corps, signed by CNO and Commandant; Coast Guard counted "when under Navy operational control" (footnote). Revised |
Already tri-signed — by Conway (Marine Corps), Roughead (Navy), and Allen (Coast Guard); "the Naval Service" is a three-service identity, Title 10 and Title 14 both cited. The membership boundary was renegotiated by the midpoint. Tri-service identity in place by 2010 |
Tri-signed by CNO, Commandant of the Marine Corps, and Commandant of the Coast Guard; "the Naval Service" as a three-service identity, with Title 10 and Title 14 authorities printed in full. The remembering "we" was widened to three services at the 2010 midpoint and held there. Membership edited into memory |
| Identity attributes | Four qualities: readiness, flexibility, self-sustainability, mobility — enabling an "expeditionary" character. Rewritten |
Not readable: the identity-attributes list lives in Chapter One ("Who We Are"), whose body is missing from the recovered ~80% excerpt. Chapter One body not in the recovered excerpt |
Seven attributes: lethal, mobile, expeditionary, agile, scalable, sustainable, versatile — lethality promoted to first position and called "a fundamental attribute of naval power." The self-description hardened with the environment. Peacetime virtues → combat virtues |
| Strategic environment | "Moving away from the prospect of all-or-nothing global war with another superpower"; regional crises, littoral operations, operations other than war cataloged with boxed cases (Sharp Guard, Sea Angel, Liberia, counterdrug). Dropped |
The hinge state. Still "moving away from … an all-or-nothing global war with another adversary" — yet "Deter Major-Power War" is now a named strategic imperative, and while great-power war "strikes many as improbable," the edition "demands that it be actively deterred." A six-phase campaign model (Shape → Enable Civil Authority) replaces the war/OOTW dichotomy; anti-access/area-denial and cyberspace appear. 1994 posture + great-power hedge |
"The interlude from great power competition is over"; "Every domain is contested"; a competition continuum (cooperation → competition below armed conflict → armed conflict) replaces the phased/OOTW framing; naval diplomacy becomes a named doctrinal category. The environment model is the most volatile layer of the archive — and 2010 shows the pivot half-made: the great-power threat was already re-entering the memory, but the unipolar language had not yet been retired. Fastest-churning stratum |
| Preferred warfighting style | Attrition versus maneuver taught as the two styles; "maneuver warfare … is our preferred style of warfighting"; center of gravity, critical vulnerability, focus of effort, main effort as the conceptual apparatus. Dropped |
Already gone. The recovered chapters contain no attrition-versus-maneuver dichotomy and no "preferred style" commitment; "maneuver warfare" survives only as one activity MAGTFs conduct ashore. The borrowed Marine framing was dropped by the midpoint. Unlearned by 2010 |
The dichotomy and the "preferred style" commitment stay gone; of the 1994 apparatus only center of gravity survives, as a glossary entry. Replaced by naval-specific maxims from the scholarly literature — Hughes's "attack effectively first," win the sensor–shooter fight, "sometimes you need to fight a fort." The unlearning we can now date to 2010 or earlier; the positive replacement with a native naval-tactics tradition is the later, 2020 move. Unlearning, or correcting a false memory? |
| Command philosophy | Commander's intent, mission-type orders, tempo, and the decision cycle (Boyd footnoted); Nelson and Burke as exemplars who "rarely issued detailed instructions." Kept, then theorized |
The practice is present — commander's intent, decentralized execution of centralized plans, "what needs to be done but not how" — but the label is not. The phrase "mission command" appears nowhere in the recovered text. The concept was carried; the name and its theory had not yet arrived. Practice kept, not yet named |
The same content, now named mission command and given a theory: command by direction, by planning, by influence; "Command by direction and command by planning seek to eliminate uncertainty. In contrast, mission command seeks to reduce the need for certainty." Nelson and Burke return, now via Palmer's Command at Sea. The 2010 midpoint dates the externalization: the tacit practice was stable, and it was the 2010→2020 revision that supplied the label and the theory. Codification deepened |
| Master concept | Battlespace dominance, power projection, command-control-surveillance, force sustainment as the four "critical operational capabilities." Reorganized |
Six "expanded core capabilities": forward presence, deterrence, sea control, power projection, maritime security, HA/DR. Sea control is already back at the center — "the essence of seapower," "a necessary ingredient in the successful accomplishment of all naval missions," "the foundation of seapower primacy" — but as a first-among-a-list, not yet the single ordering axiom. Sea control restored by 2010 |
Five enduring functions (sea control, power projection, deterrence, maritime security, sealift) under a single ordering axiom repeated like a refrain: "Sea control enables all other naval functions." The 2020 archive has a hierarchy where 1994 had a list — and 2010 shows the intermediate step: sea control was restored to the center by the midpoint, then in 2020 hardened from "essence" into the explicit function that "enables all others." Memory gains an index |
| Retained particulars | Nine principles of war (discussed over eight pages, applied to Midway); sealift "has accounted historically for 90 - 95% of the total cargo delivered"; "90% of the world's trade and 99% of our import-export tonnage is transported on the sea." Kept |
Principles: reframed as the twelve principles of joint operations — the historic nine plus restraint, perseverance, and legitimacy. Trade/sealift statistics: not readable — those figures sit in Chapter One's "Maritime Domain" section, which is missing from the excerpt. Principles: nine → joint-twelve · statistics: Chapter One not in excerpt |
Back to "the nine principles of war" (2020 drops the joint-twelve framing); sealift "historically accounts for 90–95 percent of total military cargo"; "Ninety percent of global trade … and 99 percent of international internet traffic travels beneath [the seas] in undersea cables." Note the 99% slot: same number, same rhetorical position, new referent — import-export tonnage became internet traffic. The schema persisted; the fact was refilled. (The 2010 midpoint value for the 99% slot is unrecoverable — Chapter One is missing — so this showpiece slot has a 1994 and a 2020 reading but no midpoint.) Statistics as memory slots |
| Teaching cases | Boxed vignettes: Battle of the Atlantic (attrition), Inchon (maneuver), Yorktown (critical vulnerability), Midway (principles applied), Normandy (risk), Top Gun (tempo). Kept as genre, recast |
The recovered chapters lead with leader-quotation epigraphs instead — Themistocles ("Whosoever can hold the sea has command of everything"), Mattis ("No better friend, no worse enemy"). The boxed historical-battle vignette is not evident in the recovered portion; whether it survived elsewhere in the full edition cannot be confirmed from the ~80% excerpt. Epigraph mode visible; boxed-vignette genre not confirmable |
New vignettes, same genre as 1994: Taffy 3 at Samar (initiative without orders), the Virginia Capes (a navy deciding a war), Guadalcanal via Trent Hone's Learning War. And a new habit: footnoting civilian scholarship (Hughes & Girrier, Hone, Palmer, Till, Huntington). The archive opened its citations to the academy. Stories as the socialization channel |
What does the diff teach, theoretically? Walsh & Ungson insist that organizational memory is not passive storage: retrieval is selective, reconstruction is active, and what is remembered serves present decision premises. The NDP 1 trajectory shows the layering of that process with unusual precision, and the 2010 midpoint sharpens the timing. The container (chapter triptych, principles list, vignette genre, the judgment clause itself) has a half-life measured in generations — and the one container change, dropping the futures chapter, we can now pin to 2010 or earlier rather than 2020. The middle stratum — named operational concepts — churns roughly per strategic era, but not in lockstep: maneuver warfare was out by 2010, whereas sea control's restoration was also complete by 2010, so the concept the institution unlearned and the concept it re-remembered moved on the same clock, not sequentially. Battlespace dominance out, sea control back in — a concept that is in fact the older memory, restored (Corbett and Mahan were in the 1994 reading list too). The surface stratum — the environment model — is rewritten across the sequence, and here 2010 catches the pivot half-made: the great-power threat had re-entered as a named imperative while the unipolar language of moving away from all-or-nothing global war still stood, a genuine mid-edit snapshot. One framing even reverses: the principles went nine (1994) → joint-twelve (2010) → nine again (2020), memory adopted and then un-adopted. And one detail resists every category: the mutating 99% statistic — a memory slot so stable that the institution kept the number while replacing what it counts (though its 2010 value is lost with the missing Chapter One). If you want a single exhibit for the claim that organizational memory is schema-first and fact-second, that is it.
Honesty note
What this comparison can and cannot show.
Three editions are three samples across a quarter century. The recovered 2010 edition partly answers what the two-point version could not: it shows that several 1994→2020 changes — the tri-service identity, the loss of the futures chapter, the unlearning of maneuver warfare, the restoration of sea control — were already accomplished by the midpoint, while others — the "mission command" label, the retirement of the unipolar frame, the return to the nine principles — came only after. But three points still sample rather than trace a continuous path (the Navy's doctrinal and strategy output between these editions is outside this session's sources), so the diff dates changes to before or after 2010, not to a year. Two honesty limits bind the 2010 column specifically: it is an ~80% excerpt, so any dimension living in the missing Chapter One body (identity attributes, the trade/sealift statistics) simply has no 2010 reading and is marked as such; and "before 2010" is not "in 2010" — a change complete by the midpoint could have happened anywhere in the preceding sixteen years. Precise when and how remain Session 03's production-system territory.
The straddle that works: doctrine against Hansen's either/or
Hansen, Nohria & Tierney warn that organizations which straddle codification and personalization tend to fail. The military straddles both at maximum scale and has for centuries. The resolution: it layers the strategies by knowledge type, and doctrine is the index that binds the layers.
Hansen and colleagues studied consulting, healthcare, and software firms and concluded that effective knowledge strategy is roughly 80/20 one way or the other: codify and reuse (Andersen, Ernst & Young), or cultivate person-to-person transfer (McKinsey, Bain), but do not straddle — the economics, incentives, and IT of the two strategies undermine each other. The military, on its face, is a monumental counterexample: a vast codification apparatus (four schools of manuals, hierarchies of publications, a dictionary that defines "doctrine" itself) fused to an equally vast personalization apparatus (professional military education, staff rides, war games, commander apprenticeship, unit cohesion). Why does the straddle hold?
Because it is not one knowledge market. The straddle decomposes by knowledge type, and the sources give us the decomposition directly. Where problems recur identically across thousands of units — weapon employment, signals, reporting formats, replenishment procedures — Hansen's reuse economics apply in full, and the institution codifies absolutely (first-school doctrine tolerates no judgment clause). Where problems are novel, situated, and adversarial — command decisions under uncertainty — the institution personalizes, and always has. The 1994 NDP 1 describes the personalization channel with a candor no knowledge-management consultant could improve upon: Nelson and Burke "rarely issued detailed instructions to their subordinate commanders. Instead, they frequently gathered their captains to discuss a variety of tactical problems. Because of these informal discussions, the captains became aware of what their commanders expected to accomplish … Thus prepared, they later were able to act independently, following their commanders' intent, even though formal orders either were brief or nonexistent." That is socialization in Nonaka & Takeuchi's strict sense — tacit-to-tacit transfer through shared experience — and it is described inside the codified document, as doctrine about when not to rely on doctrine. Twenty-six years later the 2020 edition canonizes the same two commanders for the same lesson. The exemplar pair is itself among the most stable items in the institution's memory.
Mapping the whole system onto Walsh & Ungson's retention bins shows what doctrine is actually for:
Bin 1 · Individuals
Commanders and their experience
The oldest bin and, for navies, historically the primary one: unwritten doctrine "centered around one individual commander." Strength: richness. Failure mode, per Jackson's sources: "erratic success rate" and total loss at turnover — the personalization strategy's known fragility.
Bin 2 · Culture
Service culture and identity
Builder's Masks of War via Jackson: service culture quietly governs how each service treats doctrine itself — the Army a "doctrine-based organization," the Navy "generally … dismissive of doctrine development." Culture is the meta-memory that decides what the other bins are allowed to hold.
Bin 3 · Transformations
Procedures, TTP, drill
The 1994 edition defines the stack precisely: procedures ("instructions for specific systems"), techniques ("ways to use various systems"), tactics ("the art of selecting the right tools for the job") — with doctrine as "the underlying philosophy" above all three. First- and second-school memory, and the layer where codification is total.
Bin 4 · Structures
Roles, rank, task organization
Command relationships, the task force/group/unit/element grammar, the MAGTF construct: organizational form as stored coordination knowledge. The 2020 edition's claim that task organization "directly enables the agility, scalability, and versatility" of naval warfare is a claim that structure remembers.
Bin 5 · Ecology
Ships, ranges, simulators
The physical setting encodes memory too: ship design assumptions, the Top Gun schoolhouse that rebuilt air-combat skill mid-war (1994's tempo vignette), the instrumented training range as a purpose-built memory-formation machine — Session 08's territory, flagged here.
External archives
Allies, academies, scholarship
Walsh & Ungson's sixth locus, outside the organization: allied doctrine via the thought collective, Jomini explaining Napoleon, and — new in 2020 — civilian scholarship footnoted inside the capstone itself (Hughes, Hone, Palmer, Till). The institution's memory extends beyond its legal boundary.
Against that map, doctrine's role clarifies: it is not the memory so much as the index and integrator of the memory — the one artifact that names the concepts, fixes the vocabulary, ranks the functions, and tells members which bin to consult for what ("Naval doctrine forms a bridge between the naval component of our nation's military strategy and our tactics, techniques and procedures," 1994). The SECI spiral runs through it on a loop:
Wardroom & captains' councils
Nelson's and Burke's informal discussions; commander apprenticeship.
Shared deployments
Common experience of the domain — the "centuries of independent global operations" the 2020 edition credits for mission command culture.
Service culture
Identity, stories, exemplars — Taffy 3, Midway — carried person to person.
Lessons & studies
War college analysis, operational experience, the 1973 October War shock that "organized knowledge in the absence of operational theory."
Capstone doctrine
NDP 1: the belief system articulated, approved, and signed.
Subordinate pubs & TTP
NDP series, warfare publications, procedures — combination down the hierarchy.
Schoolhouse & PME
Doctrine as curriculum: "Our training and education are based on doctrine" (1994).
War gaming & exercises
Free-play exercises and simulation "connect people to their missions before they are actually employed" (1994).
"Second nature"
Principles inculcated until they operate without retrieval — Carney's word for it, below.
The proof-of-function story for the whole system — memory substituting for communication under exactly the degraded conditions Session 01 established — is the quotation with which the 2020 edition chooses to end, a 1948 reflection on the Pacific war:
But to me, in retrospect, the vital and important thing is that … all of those separated commanders were thinking in sufficiently like terms to construct a mosaic of tactical victories fitting together into a greater mural of strategic victory which effectively terminated Japanese sea power. There were gaps in communications and gaps in mutual understandings among the commanders, but the great principles of sea power had been inculcated in all of those commanders and were literally second nature to them, so that even without authoritative coordinating command, they instinctively moved in directions which were basically sound.
Notice what Carney does not credit: manuals. He credits inculcation — principles made "second nature," internalized past the point of needing the document. That is the mature form of the military's answer to Hansen: codification is not the terminal store of knowledge but the transmission format between generations of practitioners, with the real operational memory intended to reside, at the moment of use, in people. The written archive exists so that "due preparation of the minds" (Knox, 1915) can happen at scale and survive turnover; the judgment clause exists because the archive knows it is a means. And the standing risk is the fable in Jackson's foreword — the Soviet general's complaint that "it is impossible to plan against the Americans because they don't follow their own doctrine," which American officers repeat with pride. An adversary cannot exploit a codified memory its owners hold loosely; but an institution whose members do not know its doctrine (the very gap Colonel Hanson's foreword laments in the officer corps) is running on bins 1 and 2 alone — personalization by neglect rather than by design.
Publication of Wapenhandlingen van Roers, Musqetten, Ende Spiessen, the "first modern drill book" — the traceable, unbroken lineage of Western written doctrine (Jackson, ch. 2).
March 1994 to April 2020: the same capstone document, rewritten across the distance from the unipolar moment to great power competition — while the Naval Doctrine Command that produced the first edition lasted five years (1993–1998).
The 2006 Counterinsurgency manual after internet posting — possibly the widest-circulated doctrine manual ever published, and the vehicle of the anti-positivist "design" concept (Jackson, ch. 4).
The one statistic retained essentially verbatim across both NDP 1 editions — while the neighboring "99%" slot silently changed referents from import-export tonnage (1994) to undersea internet traffic (2020).
Seminar discussion
Questions to structure the session's second hour.
- The clause on trial. Jackson's cynical footnote reads "authoritative but requires judgment in application" as a liability disclaimer; this session read it as a principled boundary marker for tacit knowledge. Both readings fit the text. What evidence would distinguish them — in how deviations from doctrine are treated after failure, in how the clause is taught, in whether "judgment" is ever assessed? Note that the 2020 edition strengthened the clause ("authoritative but not prescriptive"). Which reading does that revision support?
- Hansen's warning, revisited. The military straddles codification and personalization by layering them by knowledge type. But the Soviet general's fable and Colonel Hanson's foreword (officers who don't know their own doctrine) suggest the layers leak. Is the straddle actually working — or is the US military two knowledge regimes (a codified one for procedures, an oral-cultural one for command) that merely share a letterhead? What observation would settle it?
- The reluctant codifier. The Navy's capstone doctrine came late, thin, from a doctrine command that lived five years; its fourth-school functions ran through strategy white papers; Codner says navy doctrine faces "upwards" toward funders. Apply Meyer & Rowan: is NDP 1 load-bearing organizational memory, or ceremonial structure adopted for legitimacy while the real memory stays in ships and wardrooms? Use the 2020 edition's own features (re-arguing the case for sea power from first principles; footnoting civilian scholars) as evidence either way.
- Forgetting versus editing. Between 1994 and 2020 the Navy deleted "maneuver warfare … is our preferred style of warfighting" — a commitment Jackson says was borrowed from the Marine Corps in the first place. Is this organizational forgetting (memory decay), deliberate unlearning (Hedberg's term), or the correction of a memory that was never authentically the institution's own? What does your answer imply about whether doctrine records belief or produces it?
- Paradigm shift or flirtation? Jackson calls the positivist-to-anti-positivist turn "arguably the most pervasive paradigm shift … in 400 years," then hedges: design may be recaptured as checklist, AirSea Battle is comfortably positivist, and the shift may end with the wars that caused it. The 2020 NDP 1 — written nine years after JP 5-0 canonized design — contains Boyd and complexity language but no design chapter. Adjudicate: did the paradigm shift happen? What counts as evidence for a paradigm shift in an archive that historically accretes paradigms rather than replacing them?
- Stories in the manual. Both editions teach through vignettes — Midway and Inchon in 1994; Taffy 3 and Guadalcanal in 2020. Nonaka & Takeuchi say socialization requires shared experience, which a printed story cannot provide. So what do the vignettes actually transfer — tacit judgment, values, identity, or merely the feeling of tacitness? Compare Carney's claim that principles were "second nature": can narrative inculcate, or only signal what inculcation should produce?
- The deletion test. Suppose every doctrine publication vanished overnight but people, culture, structures, and training continued. Carney implies the fleet would fight on — the memory that matters is in commanders. What, concretely, would degrade, and on what timescale? (Consider: interoperability with allies, the thought collective, new-officer formation, the Navy–Congress interface, joint operations with services that are doctrine-based.) Use your answer to state precisely which organizational functions written memory serves that embodied memory cannot.
- The transfer test. Take a knowledge-intensive organization you know — an engineering org with runbooks and design docs, a hospital with protocols, a law firm with precedent files. Where is its tacit–explicit boundary, and does anything mark it the way the judgment clause does? Draft the "authoritative but requires judgment" sentence for that organization's most important document, and identify what would have to change — in training, blame allocation, and versioning practice — for the sentence to be true rather than decorative.
Synthesis and bridge
What this session establishes and what it sets up.
What we established
Doctrine is engineered organizational memory with a marked tacit boundary.
The archive grew in four ontological layers over four centuries — procedures, tactics, explicit institutional ontology, inquisitive self-description — accreting rather than replacing, governed by a positivist admissions policy now under anti-positivist challenge. Its defining clause, "authoritative but requires judgment," is the institution's standing resolution of Hansen's codification-versus-personalization either/or: codify to the tacit–explicit boundary, label the remainder, and build people who can carry it. The NDP 1 diff showed the memory's stratigraphy — sticky formats, churning concepts, volatile environment models, and statistics that persist as slots while their referents change.
Next session
Session 03 — The Doctrine Factory
Having established what the artifact is, we turn to the system that manufactures it: the production, review, and revision machinery of doctrine — who writes it, who approves it, how consensus is engineered across services and allies, and what the process (glimpsed this week in Starry's Army-wide consultation for the 1982 FM 100-5 and the Petraeus–Crane FM 3-24 team) does to the content. Organizational memory, it turns out, has an editorial bureaucracy — and its design choices are legible in every page it publishes.
Sources and evidence
Every material claim in this lecture traces to these documents.
Source register